Ask five people what they actually think.
One sentence they all answer on their own, and your three numbers go in with theirs.Nobody has to be the one who says it out loud.
The card you made
Checkout rebuild is due Oct 11. It succeeds only if cart completion rises 12% by Nov 10.
Who you askedsimulated, for this walk
Alex
Sam
Jordan
Riley
Casey
You answer your own card too, on the same three questions and under the same rule — your answer is sealed like everyone else’s, and making the card does not let you see in.
What the numbers mean
Quality — how good is it
1–3Rough; barely works
4–6Works, with friction
7–8Strong
9–10Exceptional
Likelihood — how likely, as a chance
10–30%It will not land
40–60%Could go either way
70–80%Likely, with known risk
90–100%Near certain
Current stateQualityHow good is Checkout rebuild today?
Rough; barely worksExceptional
The success barQualityHow good does it need to be by Oct 11?
Rough; barely worksExceptional
Chance of successLikelihoodWill this project be successful?
It will not landNear certain
If you have doubts, name them.
Optional — up to 5
Set all three numbers to send the card.